SUNDAY AM Writethru: Dog Man provided the first sign of life to the 2025 box office this weekend with an opening that now stands at $36M.
That’s the second biggest opening for a January animated title of all time after DreamWorks Animation’s 2016 Kung Fu Panda 3 ($41.8M) and it’s the third consecutive No. 1 debut for DWA after Kung Fu Panda 4 and The Wild Robot, as well as the 26th DWA title to open at No. 1 stateside for the studio that Steven Spielberg, Jeffrey Katzenberg and David Geffen originally founded.
“Dog Man is an incredibly charming film from our partners at Dreamworks Animation who excel at storytelling for all ages. The box office this weekend and the reaction that audiences of all ages are having to Dog Man point to a very long, successful run this spring,” beamed Universal Domestic Distribution Chief Jim Orr.
According to PostTrak, 45% bought tickets to Dog Man because it looked fun and entertaining, while close to a third of the audience went because it’s part of a franchise they love, that being the Dav Pilkey Scholastic graphic novels. He has said that he first conceived the character in the second grade. Dog Man gets a solid A CinemaScore, but PostTrak exits are harder among adults at 3 1/2 stars and 75% positive. Among general audiences, now mostly male skewing at 52%, the majority of ticket buyers are under 35 at 70%. Diversity demos are solid showing 41% Caucasian, 27% Latino/Hispanic, 12% Black and 10% Asian. PLF screens rep 22% of the weekend. The Peter Hastings-directed movie is playing evenly throughout the country from red states to blue states with the Burbank, CA AMC the pic’s No. 1 cinema in the nation with just over $44k.
What’s crystal clear is that when it comes to notable family fare, Universal doesn’t waste any opportunities. This is also a very good start for an original animated movie that only cost $40M before P&A.
Uni launched the campaign in September with a trailer that trended on YouTube in the No. 1 spot, racking up 102M views. In-theater trailers ran on Transformers One, The Wild Robot, Moana 2 and Sonic The Hedgehog 3. TV spots ran during Thanksgiving and Christmas targeted co-viewing family audiences including The National Dog Show, holiday specials, New Year’s Eve programming, and finales of popular shows like Survivor and The Masked Singer and premieres of The Traitors, The Bachelor, Deal or No Deal Island, Price is Right at Night, Shifting Gears, and Raid the Cage. There were also spots airing during such sport events as Christmas Day NBA, MLS Cup Finals, Liga MX, NFL livestreams, the Orange Bowl, Cotton Bowl, NFL Wild Card Game and playoffs. There was also a push on the Amazon ecosystem including FireTV, Fire Tablet and Alexa home screens—and streaming platforms like Hulu, Peacock and Hallmark. On January 20, Dog Man was integrated into Food Network’s Kids Baking Championship, with a full takeover that included a film-themed baking challenge, sets, and custom animation.
New Line’s Companion with a strong B+ CinemaScore (a high mark for horror on that grading scale) and solid 4 stars on PostTrak, is arriving within its tracking estimate of $8M-$10M with $9.5M after a $4M Friday (including $1.7M previews) and $3.1M Saturday. This horror pic cost under $10M and I’m told with its economics it’s in a position to profit. Women under 25 who showed up at 17% gave the Drew Hancock-directed/written movie a 91% grade. Men over 25 at 37% gave it 80%, women over 25 at 32% graded it 85% and men under 25 at 14% rated the pic 14%. Sixty-eight percent of the audience is between 18-34 with 24-34 being the biggest demo at close to 40%. Forty-three percent left their couches at home because it’s a horror movie while 26% bought tickets because it’s a Sophie Thatcher movie. Imax and PLFs are driving 34% of the weekend. Imax hubs alone made $1.6M or 17% of the weekend. The New Line title is playing strongest in the East, South Central and West with the AMC Burbank 30 in LA the top grossing multiplex with $55,7K so far.
With a social media universe around 170M, RelishMix says that Companion‘s reach across X, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube and Facebook was 4% under other first installment horror movies. The Boys‘ Jack Quaid is the one star in the movie who is activated on social with 2.3M while Thatcher counts under half a million followers.
Solid word of mouth for Companion: “Positive convo on Companion finds both horror fans and non-fans alike interested in this new cinematic offering. The cast is interesting people to head out to theaters, with viewers sharing, ‘Glad to see Jack Quaid playing another villain role! Excited to see where this goes,’ and, ‘Jack Quaid & Sophie Thatcher, NICE!’ The choice to advertise the film with a cheeky reference to the romance genre delighted many, with comments like, ‘Definitely was not expecting that after seeing ‘the ones who brought you The Notebook’ total twist but I love it,’ and, ‘Not normally interested in thriller/horror films, but this looks interesting to see where it goes.’”
Then why isn’t Companion doing more at the box office? The pic’s best CinemaScores of A- were with men 35-49 (A- at 15%) and women 25-34 (A-, 25%). There are some, including those in tracking, who opine that Warners underspent greatly in the campaign for what’s been buzzed about to be quite the hip movie. There are also those who believe, like Zach Cregger (who’s a producer here) and Jordan Peele, that Hancock is the next big voice in horror. In fact, Cregger was originally planning to direct Hancock’s screenplay when he heavily suggested that the Suburgatory scribe get a shot. We heard that Companion has a global P&A spend of $29M. Then there was the rumor that only $10M was spent on U.S. TV. iSpot shows less at $830K, the primary push being an NFL playoff spot. Juxtapose this to the $13.6M that Uni spots on Blumhouse’s Wolf Man ($10.8M opening) and the $4.8M spent on Speak No Evil ($11.3M opening). iSpot reports Uni spent $10.3M on Dog Man.
First of all, we live in a world where A24 and NEON are wowing the 18-34 set with genre films off digitally aggressive campaigns, which cost less than $10M. Some of the big major studios want to emulate that marketing cost to box office ratio recipe. Also, not every movie gets a one-size-fits-all marketing approach. With a hot trailer that’s north of 109M views, NEON’s Oz Perkins title The Monkey next month is swinging to a potential $15M-$20M. The latest thinking at Warners from what I gather is that when it comes to launching a movie that cost under $10M, there’s no need to spend $60M in global P&A if the studio can feasibly be in the black on this title. The global opening for Companion came in at $15M. If Warners wants to continue staking out new talent at this budget range (around $10M or less), and make these movies profitable, the P&A has to suit the production. By the way, this has been the Lionsgate and Sony practice on their lower budgeted titles like One of Them Days post-COVID. Apparently, per motion picture business affairs practices, it doesn’t matter how good or bad your exits are that determine P&A spend. It’s the budget of the movie and the size of the demographic audience. I hear Warners has extra money to spend if Companion holds in.
At the same time, the question becomes what would have happened if Warners spent more, say $5M extra on marketing? Would Companion have cleared $15M? Again, everyone is chasing that under $10M P&A spend to get that $22.4M opening à la Longlegs. PostTrak audiences say that the most influential pieces of marketing for Companion were in-theater trailers (27%), friends/family (13%), online trailers (8%), TV spots (5%), online video ads (5%) and reviews (5%).
Others say that because Companion isn’t a straight blood-and-guts horror film — which are easier sells — that’s why it’s not near or north of $20M+ start like Longlegs and Terrifier 3 ($18.9M) or even Warner’s earlier Evil Dead. Tweener horror movies like Companion are a challenge to market. It’s not M3GAN which was a killer doll film. There was some debate as to whether the twist of the pic should be revealed in the trailer.
For Warners the comps on Companion were always such profitable horror pics as Ready or Not ($8M domestic opening, $28.7M domestic final, $57.6M global, $6M production cost); BoulderLight’s previous sleeper Barbarian ($10.5M U.S. opening, $40.8M domestic, $45.3M worldwide, under $5M production cost) and Heretic ($10.8M opening, $27.9M domestic, $59.7M global, $10M production cost)
What also needs to be considered is that with the heavy auteur original movies on the Warner schedule, i.e. Bong Joon Ho’s Mickey 17 (March 7), Ryan Coogler’s Sinners (April 18), Paul Thomas Anderson’s untitled Vineland inspired epic (Aug. 8) and Maggie Gyllenhaal’s The Bride! (Sept 26), as well as mega tentpoles Superman (July 11) and Minecraft (April 4), mega marketing dollars will indeed be needed to launch such fare. In the same breath, I’m told that the low-cost push on Companion isn’t a matter of robbing Peter to pay Paul. Each movie on a studio slate has its own marketing budgets due to different profit participants; they are all different entities.
Briarcliff Entertainment has Valiant One booked at 1,275 theaters with $260K on Friday and $290K on Saturday for what’s a $725K weekend. The pic follows a U.S. mission that goes sideways when a helicopter crashes in North Korea. Critics didn’t enjoy watching it at 27% on Rotten Tomatoes. Any money being made is coming from the South, Midwest, Mountain and the West with the Harkins Arrowhead Fountains 18 in Peoria, Ariz. the movie’s best venue with $2.2K.
Outside the top 10, Focus Features’ Nosferatu is clearing $800K in its sixth weekend with a running domestic tally of $94.7M, $2.1M shy of their top-grossing domestic title, Downton Abbey ($96.8M).
The entire weekend is coming in around $87.7M, which is +44% ahead of a year ago when Uni’s release of Apple Original Films’ $200M Argylle got tied up in its socks with a $17.4M opening.
Updated numbers:
- Dog Man (Uni) 3,855 theaters, Fri $10.8M, Sat $15.1M Sun $10M 3-day $36M/Wk 1
- Companion (WB/NL) 3,285 theaters, Fri $4M Sat $3.1M Sun $2.3M 3-day $9.5M, Wk 1
- Mufasa (Dis) 3,180 (-240) theaters, Fri $1.34M, Sat $3M Sun $1.77M 3-day $6.1M (-29%), Total $229.5M/Wk 7
- One of Them Days (Sony) 2,306 (-369) theaters, Fri $1.67M Sat $2.7M Sun $1.63M 3-day $6M (-25%), Total $34.4M/Wk 3
- Flight Risk (LG) 3,161 theaters, Fri $1.5M (-65%) Sat $2.5M Sun $1.62M 3-day $5.62M (-52%), Total $20.9M/Wk 2
- Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (Par) 2,665 (-432) theaters, Fri $670K (-39%) Sat $1.6M Sun $950K 3-day $3.22M (-39%), Total $230.5M/Wk 7
- Moana 2 (Dis) 2,200 (-350) theaters, Fri $585K (-33%) Sat $1.4M Sun $851K 3-day $2.83M (-33%), Total $453.8M/Wk 10
The $1 billion-plus grossing sequel landed on PVOD after a very healthy 62-day window. - A Complete Unknown (FSL) 1,515 (-495) theaters, Fri $580K (-32%) Sat $1M Sun $584K 3-day $2.16M (-30%), Total $66.7M/Wk 6
- The Brutalist (A24) 1,612 (+494) theaters, Fri $425K (-41%) Sat $800K Sun $640K 3-day $1.86M (-39%), Total $12.1M/Wk 7
- Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (LG) 1,471 (-637) theaters, Fri $430K (-49%) Sat $730K Sun $450K 3-day $1.6M (-46%), Total $34.4M/Wk 4
The Tucker Tooley-co-financed Gerard Butler sequel, which has a third chapter in the works, arrived on PVOD Tuesday after an 18-day window.Notables:
Presence (NEON) 1,739 (-11) theaters, Fri $375K, Sat $585K Sun $380K 3-day $1.34M (-59%), Total $5.88M/Wk 2
UPDATED, Friday PM: Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Dog Man is fetching a great opening of $33M per afternoon figures, with Friday expected to come in at $10M at 3,885 locations, including previews. That’s higher than the comps for this younger-skewing property (65% of the kids audience was under 9 years old last night), which are Captain Underpants at a $23.8M opening, DC League of Pets at $23M and Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie at $22.7M.
Since the strikes and COVID, it’s clear: kids fare rules. Seriously, during the pandemic, there were fears by some executives that families would never come back to cinemas. So not true; they even come back to cinemas when the movie is on PVOD.
With a social media universe of 246.6M across TikTok, X, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube, RelishMix says “positive convo on Dog Man is through the roof, attracting longtime fans of the book series which the film is adapted from as well as casual animation fans who are intrigued by the wacky comedic antics and alluring style. Comments include, ‘Loved the books as a kid, I might be a little too old for it now but I think I might sneak a watch lmao. Absolutely can’t wait for this one! The official sequel of spinoff to Captain Underpants. It looks great!’ and, ‘Looks amazing. The animation is awesome and it got the essence of the Dev Pilkey’s comic book.’”
Dog Man‘s social media reach is higher than DWA’s The Bad Guys (212M) before opening and Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie (117.5M).
New Line’s terror movie Companion, which is wired with excellent word of mouth, is eyeing $4M today including previews, with an eye at $10M and a chance for upside in second at 3,285 theaters. At that level, at a less than $10M production cost (updated, we hear) and $29M global P&A, if this Sophie Thatcher-starring movie ultimately crosses $40M-$50M stateside, we hear it’s in a range to profit for the Burbank lot. We saw this earlier this year with Sony spending a conservative P&A on a movie with great exits, that being One of Them Days.
Currently, Yellowjackets star Thatcher’s biggest opening at the domestic box office belongs to 2023’s The Boogeyman ($12.3M opening, $43.2M domestic/$67.3M global, $35M production cost and very low Rotten Tomatoes audience score at 66%).
In third for the frame is the seventh weekend of Disney’s Mufasa: The Lion King with $1.45M today, a $7M three-day total (-19%) at 3,180 theaters and a running cume by Sunday of $230.4M. By the way, the lion may have come into the marketplace as a lamb before Christmas opening to $35.4M (behind Paramount’s Sonic the Hedgehog 3‘s $60.1M) but by the end of this weekend, the King of the Jungle will be $300K shy of overtaking the fast, blue critter (Sonic 3 stands at $230.7M).
Fourth is the third weekend of Sony’s R-rated SZA-Keke Palmer comedy One of Them Days with $1.6M today, $6M (-25%) for the weekend and $34.4M by Sunday.
Fifth is the second weekend of Lionsgate’s Mel Gibson-directed, Mark Wahlberg-starring Flight Risk at 3,161 sites, with $1.4M today, $5M (-57%) for the 3-day and $20.3M by Sunday EOD.
PREVIOUSLY, Friday AM: Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s feature take of Dav Pilkey’s Dog Man bit $1.36M in previews last night, which comps to DWA’s previews for The Bad Guys ($1.15M) and Trolls Band Together ($1.3M) — those movies respectively opening to $23.9M and $30M.
Dog Man is expected to be the first notable opening of the year, north of $20M. Quorum reports: “Dog Man has been on the rise. Two weeks ago, it was tracking behind Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie, which opened to $23M. Today, awareness and unaided awareness are much higher than Paw. Could Dog reach $30M? It certainly seems possible.” Dads and moms under 35 are the strongest as far as those who’ll pay to see the movie in a theater. Dog Man is 4 1/2 stars with kids and parents in Screen Engine/Comscore PostTrak exits. The movie is booked at 3,885 theaters. Previews started Thursday at 2 p.m. in 2,950 venues. The animated pic is 77% fresh with Rotten Tomatoes critics.
New Line’s R-rated horror film Companion is on fire in exits with a solid 4 stars on PostTrak, a 94% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes and 95% certified fresh with critics. However, the femme bot movie from BoulderLight Pictures and written/directed by Drew Hancock is only supposed to do $8M-$11M. Thursday previews, which began at 3 p.m., were at $1.1M; the total preview number is $1.7M including Monday Mystery screenings.
Quorum notes, “Three weeks ago, just before Warner Bros. kicked the campaign into high gear with a trailer and poster, Companion was tracking to open below $5M. Since then, awareness has tripled, and interest has climbed ten points.”
As far as comps, Universal’s R-rated Violent Night posted $1.1M on its way to a $13.4M opening back in 2022. Last year’s Blumhouse PG-13 title Night Swim made $1.45M in previews before opening to $11.7M, while more recently, the R-rated Wolf Man made $1.4M before continuing on to $10.8M. M3GAN, the ultimate femme bot movie, did $2.75M in previews before seducing a $30.4M opening as a PG-13 offering.
The rest of the week went like this:
1.) Flight Risk (LG) 3,161 theaters, Thu $767K (-48% from Wed), Week $14.6M/Wk 1
2.) One of Them Days (Sony) 2,675 theaters, Thu $743K (-39%), Week $10.68M, Total $27.8M/Wk 2
3. ) Mufasa (Dis) 3,420 theaters, Thu $605K (-30%), Week $10.5M, Total $222.9M/Wk 6
4.) Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (Par) 3,097 theaters, Thu $367K (-36%), Week $6.4M, Total $227M/Wk 6
5.) Moana 2 (Dis) 2,550 theaters, Thu $287K (-26%), Week $5.1M, Total $450.8M/Wk 9