Could they be wrong? Sure. But here’s another question to chew on: Could the rest of the polling, which has tended to base its samples on 2020 turnout and the now-infamous “recalled vote,” and which is painfully concerned with undercounting Trump voters, be in fact undercounting Harris voters—the women who are jazzed about her candidacy and the women (and men) who are post-Dobbs Democratic voters?
We’ll find out soon enough, but the point for now is that it was a pulverizing piece of news that ended a week in Trump world that started out, you’ll recall, with the fascist, racist, more-or-less-everythingist rally at Madison Square Garden. I’ve been a little chagrined that coverage of that grisly event has focused almost exclusively on Tony Hinchcliffe’s repulsive joke about Puerto Rico, because so many other disgusting comments were vomited out from that stage. On the other hand, that coverage has given us polls like this one, again from Saturday: Puerto Ricans in Florida prefer Harris by 85–8. Not a typo. There are around 1.1 million Puerto Ricans in Florida; according to Puerto Rico Report, “There are now more eligible voters from Puerto Rico in Florida than from Cuba.” Harris’s numbers among Latinos are up 15 points from July to October.
I didn’t even get to Trump’s comments about women and RFK Jr. and his inability to grab a door handle. In sum: The odor that’s emanating from the Trump campaign right now is one of total free fall. And Harris seems to be peaking perfectly—no mistakes, totally on message; great Saturday Night Live appearance; fantastic LeBron endorsement; wonderful cameos by people like J-Lo and Alicia Keys, who made beautiful remarks over the weekend at a rally outside Philadelphia.